{"id":42071,"date":"2026-04-06T17:18:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:18:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arriyada.net\/fr\/?p=42071"},"modified":"2026-04-06T17:18:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:18:16","slug":"perspectives-2026-la-bad-rassure-face-aux-corollaires-en-afrique-du-conflit-usa-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arriyada.net\/fr\/?p=42071","title":{"rendered":"Perspectives 2026: La BAD rassure face aux corollaires en Afrique du conflit USA-Iran\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Malgr\u00e9 la guerre en en cours au Moyen-Orient, la croissance \u00e9conomique du continent devrait atteindre \u00ab\u00a04,3% en 2026 et 4,5% en 2027, soutenue notamment par la consommation priv\u00e9e, l’assouplissement des conditions mon\u00e9taires et la hausse de la demande ext\u00e9rieure\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

arriyada.net: Malgr\u00e9 la guerre en en cours au\u00a0Moyen-Orient<\/a>, la croissance \u00e9conomique du continent devrait atteindre \u00ab\u00a04,3% en 2026 et 4,5% en 2027, soutenue notamment par la consommation priv\u00e9e, l\u2019assouplissement des conditions mon\u00e9taires et la hausse de la demande ext\u00e9rieure\u00a0\u00bb. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u2019est ce qu\u2019a indiqu\u00e9 la\u00a0la BAD dans son \u00ab\u00a0Rapport 2026\u00a0\u00bb (publi\u00e9 ce 30 mars) sur les performances et perspectives macro\u00e9conomiques de l\u2019Afrique.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le PIB du continent est estim\u00e9 \u00e0 4,2% en 2025, contre 3,5% en 2024, selon le document publi\u00e9 \u00e0 Abidjan. Ces pr\u00e9visions ont \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9tablies avant la r\u00e9cente crise au Moyen-Orient, susceptible d\u2019influer sur la trajectoire de la croissance en Afrique, a toutefois averti le\u00a0pr\u00e9sident de la BAD, Sidi Ould Tah, appelant \u00e0 la mise en \u0153uvre de \u00ab\u00a0politiques audacieuses pour soutenir l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique et att\u00e9nuer les risques\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, l\u2019\u00e9conomiste en chef et vice-pr\u00e9sident de la BAD charg\u00e9 de la gouvernance \u00e9conomique et de la gestion des connaissances, Kevin Chika Urama, a mis en avant le caract\u00e8re g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9 de la reprise \u00e9conomique en 2025, tout en soulignant les d\u00e9fis li\u00e9s \u00e0 la crise au Moyen-Orient.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selon lui, si ce conflit devait se prolonger au-del\u00e0 de trois mois, il pourrait entra\u00eener \u00ab une r\u00e9vision \u00e0 la baisse des pr\u00e9visions de croissance d\u2019environ 0,2 point de pourcentage, en raison notamment de la d\u00e9pendance de plusieurs \u00e9conomies africaines aux exportations de p\u00e9trole \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il a \u00e9galement averti que la fermeture du d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz pourrait perturber l\u2019approvisionnement en mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res strat\u00e9giques, telles que le p\u00e9trole, le gaz, les engrais et les produits chimiques, ainsi que peser sur les investissements et les flux financiers \u00e0 destination du continent, en cas de conflit prolong\u00e9. Malgr\u00e9 ces risques, M. Urama a estim\u00e9 qu\u2019il n\u2019y avait pas lieu de c\u00e9der \u00e0 l\u2019inqui\u00e9tude. Rappelant la \u00ab r\u00e9silience des \u00e9conomies africaines face aux chocs r\u00e9cents comme la pand\u00e9mie de la COVID-19, la crise financi\u00e8re mondiale et la guerre en Ukraine \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00ab Il n\u2019y a pas de raison de paniquer, il faut surtout mettre en \u0153uvre des politiques appropri\u00e9es et mobiliser les bons leviers<\/em>\u00ab , a-t-il recommand\u00e9. Evoquant la \u00ab gestion budg\u00e9taire, la mobilisation des ressources int\u00e9rieures et le renforcement des filets sociaux<\/em>\u00ab .<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pr\u00e9sentant les principales conclusions de ce Rapport, le Pr\u00e9sident de la BAD, Sidi Ould Tah, a indiqu\u00e9 que cette progression de la croissance \u00e9tait largement partag\u00e9e \u00e0 travers le continent. \u00ab L\u2019Afrique compte aujourd\u2019hui 12 des 20 \u00e9conomies les plus dynamiques au monde en 2025, ce qui constitue une source de fiert\u00e9 pour nous<\/em>\u00ab , a-t-il soulign\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il a notamment plaid\u00e9 pour une meilleure gestion de la \u00ab dette publique, un renforcement de l\u2019int\u00e9gration r\u00e9gionale \u00e0 travers la Zone de libre-\u00e9change continentale africaine (ZLECA), ainsi que des r\u00e9formes du syst\u00e8me financier et une am\u00e9lioration de l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 des investissements publics<\/em>\u00ab .<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La BAD publiera ses \u00ab Perspectives \u00e9conomiques en Afrique 2026 \u00bb, son Rapport annuel phare lors de ses 61e assembl\u00e9es annuelles pr\u00e9vues en R\u00e9publique du Congo du 25 au 29 mai. Publi\u00e9 deux fois par an, aux premier et quatri\u00e8me trimestres de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, le \u00ab Rapport sur les Performances et perspectives macro\u00e9conomiques de l\u2019Afrique \u00bb fournit aux d\u00e9cideurs africains, aux chercheurs, aux investisseurs internationaux et aux partenaires au d\u00e9veloppement des estimations actualis\u00e9es et des projections sur les performances et les perspectives des \u00e9conomies africaines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le rapport sur les \u00ab Performances et perspectives macro\u00e9conomiques de l\u2019Afrique \u00bb r\u00e9pond \u00e0 la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 cruciale de disposer de donn\u00e9es \u00e9conomiques actualis\u00e9es dans un contexte d\u2019incertitude mondiale accrue. Il propose une analyse fond\u00e9e sur des donn\u00e9es probantes, des tendances \u00e9conomiques sur le continent ainsi que des perspectives \u00e0 court et moyen termes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dans un contexte marqu\u00e9 par la persistance de chocs mondiaux et r\u00e9gionaux, l\u2019\u00e9dition 2026 met en \u00e9vidence le caract\u00e8re g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9 de la croissance \u00e9conomique de l\u2019Afrique en 2025. Et pr\u00e9conise des mesures de politiques audacieuses pour soutenir la reprise et att\u00e9nuer les risques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Afriquinfos<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Malgr\u00e9 la guerre en en cours au Moyen-Orient, la croissance \u00e9conomique du continent devrait atteindre \u00ab\u00a04,3% en 2026 et 4,5% en 2027, soutenue notamment par la consommation priv\u00e9e, l’assouplissement des conditions mon\u00e9taires et la hausse de la demande ext\u00e9rieure\u00a0\u00bb. arriyada.net: Malgr\u00e9 la guerre en en cours au\u00a0Moyen-Orient, la croissance \u00e9conomique du continent devrait atteindre \u00ab\u00a04,3% […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":42072,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[412,2,117,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42071","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-accueil","category-actualite","category-afrique","category-economie"],"yoast_head":"\nPerspectives 2026: La BAD rassure face aux corollaires en Afrique du conflit USA-Iran\u00a0 - Arriyada<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/arriyada.net\/fr\/?p=42071\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectives 2026: La BAD rassure face aux corollaires en Afrique du conflit USA-Iran\u00a0 - 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